アルベ・ロボティックス【ARBE】の掲示板
-
>>11
Five analysts follow Arbe, and using their forecasts (all of which assume Arbe will hit its $300 million revenue target), SimplyWall.st produced the following fair value calculation from a Discounted Cash Flow model.
bar chart of arbe fair value
DCF Fair value (simplywall.st)
This fair Value is a little higher than my model predicts with the given turnover. Arbe has guided to +60%.
Late in the conference call, analysts quizzed management about the ten expected contract decisions and the interjection by the CFO, saying things could be much more significant. The CEO, Kobi, said that if you add all the Request for Proposals to the Requests for Quotations, they are bidding on 7.5 billion dollars in revenue between 2023 and 2029. His seriousness was hard to judge when he said he expected to win 95% of those bids. I suspect he was being honest.
リカオン
>>10
A Crunch 12 months
It is now crunch time for ARBE and its competitors; Innoviz (INVZ) stole a march on the rest with its recent significant design wins (as predicted in this article, Lidar Review leading to buy Innoviz recommendation. Kobi Marenko (CEO of ARBE) said in the Earnings call following the Q2 results that between September and March, they expect ten decisions from different auto companies that Arbe has completed testing with; each decision accounts for revenue somewhere between $30 million and $100 million per year. As soon as he said that, the CFO jumped in, saying that these figures were from Identified customers and they thought revenue would go higher. Arbe has consistently guided to $300 million in revenue per annum, requiring three big wins out of the ten they are bidding on.